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Showing posts with label Mortality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mortality. Show all posts

Monday, October 27, 2014

YOU HAVE A 44% CHANCE OF CONTRACTING THE EBOLA VIRUS


Posted on October 27, 2014


ebola-by-planeDave Hodges 10-27-14   Modern medicine has a good idea of the course of the virus and the lethality of the Ebola virus. First, the signs and symptoms typically start between two days and three weeks after contracting the virus. The early presentingsymptoms are a fever, sore throat, muscle discomfort and a severe headache. Vomiting ensues followed by diarrhea and a severe rash. The liver and kidneys begin to fail. In the final stages, victims begin to bleed internally and externally. Death occurs between six to sixteen days. The official cause of death is normally from low blood pressure as a result of bodily fluid loss. The present estimate is that around 70% of the people whocontract Ebola are going to die.

The remainder of this article will seek to scientifically answer the following questions based upon the best data available: How fast will the will the Ebola virus spread? How long will it take for Ebola to reach its apex? Will the transmission rates for Ebola be the same in the United States as it is/was in West Africa? Finally, what are odds of contracting virus?

RELATIVE MORTALITY RATES COMPARED TO CONTRACTING EBOLA

odds-of-dying-300x290

Data sources: David Ropeik/Harvard University, National Weather Service, World Health Organization, Northeastern University Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-Technical Systems, National Geographic, United States Census.



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