Rahm Emanuel is probably going to be reelected mayor of Chicago, but it won't have been a pretty road to get there. He failed to garner a majority in the first round of voting, back in February—a rebuke, of sorts, from voters, who had four years ago given him 55 percent of the first-round vote. As a result, he now faces an April 7 runoff against county official Jesus "Chuy" Garcia.
When political junkies in the rest of the country think about Emanuel, they tend to focus on his legendary haughtiness. To take one example: A constituent who met with Emanuel earlier this month to protest the closing of mental-health clinics complained that the mayor had yelled, "You're gonna respect me!" (Emanuel's camp denied to The Huffington Post that the mayor had yelled.) Such haughtiness has certainly hurt Emanuel during this campaign. Whereas his predecessor, Richard M. Daley, was perfectly capable of arrogance, his personality didn't seem to offend Chicagoans the same way Emanuel's does. Daley had the bluster of the common man; Emanuel comes across as imperious. "Daley could be your brother or uncle," one labor leader told me recently. "Rahm is more upper class." The press in Chicago has been fond of recounting how Emanuel was seen with his extremely wealthy friend, Illinois's Republican governor, Bruce Rauner, at a posh Montana resort carrying a bottle of wine that's only available through an exclusive buyer's club—which costs six figures to join.
But while Emanuel's colorful personality has certainly been a key factor in the minds of many voters, it isn't—or at least shouldn't be—the real story about Chicago politics right now. Perhaps more than any other major city in America, Chicago is facing a truly grave set of problems—problems that are essentially more extreme versions of the challenges confronting city governments across the country.
The quandaries begin with Chicago's dramatic social divide. To an even greater extent than is the case in, say, New York or Philadelphia, Chicago has become two entirely separate cities. One is a bustling metropolis that includes the Loop, Michigan Avenue's Magnificent Mile, and the Gold Coast, as well as the city's well-to-do, working-class, and upwardly mobile immigrant neighborhoods. The other Chicago consists of impoverished neighborhoods on the far South and West Sides, primarily populated by African-Americans. These places have remained beyond the reach of the city's recovery from the Great Recession.
Meanwhile, even as it grapples with this extreme gap, Chicago is suffering from a severe fiscal crisis. Like plenty of other municipalities, Chicago lacks the revenue to pay its bills, particularly its pension obligations to city workers. According to a 2013 Pew report, 61 other U.S. cities face similar difficulties, but Chicago's situation is one of the worst. "Voters must realize we are facing the greatest economic crisis since the Great Depression," says Roosevelt University's Paul Green, the doyen of Chicago political experts. "If something doesn't happen, the city is beyond the abyss."
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